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Showing posts from August, 2026

Why the KOSPI and KOSDAQ decoupled, what index concentration does to foreign investors benchmarking Korea, and which indicators actually describe market breadth.

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Korea's Memory Duopoly · Part 3 of 3 What You Actually Own When You Buy Korea Most foreign exposure to Korea arrives through an index — an EM sleeve, an Asia allocation, a country ETF. Today demonstrated, in a single session, why that wrapper can hide more than it reveals. 24 August 2026, after the Seoul close · Part 3 of 3 — Concluding Previously — Part 1 covered the $107bn in combined shareholder returns announced by Samsung and SK Hynix in three days, and the KOSPI's recovery above 6,900. Part 2 showed that 97.4% of Samsung's first-half operating profit came from semiconductors, and that Nvidia's qualification of three HBM vendors is compressing SK Hynix's lead. Key points The KOSPI fell 3.12% today while the KOSDAQ rose — the exact inverse of Friday's session. Samsung Electronics dropped 8.69% because ₩110tn ($79bn) missed a market expectation nearer ₩150tn ($107bn). Even as the index broke...

Nvidia Now Buys HBM From Three Suppliers. That Changes Everything Downstream.

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Korea's Memory Duopoly · Part 2 of 3 Nvidia Now Buys HBM From Three Suppliers. That Changes Everything Downstream. For two product generations, SK Hynix was effectively the sole credible supplier of high-bandwidth memory at scale. That era ended quietly this year. Working backwards from the supply chain to the income statements reveals two very different companies. 24 August 2026 · Part 2 of 3 — The businesses Part 1 recap — SK Hynix and Samsung announced roughly $107bn in combined shareholder returns across three days in August, reversing a violent July selloff that was driven by a leverage unwind rather than deteriorating fundamentals. On the day the KOSPI recovered, the KOSDAQ fell 4.63%. Key points Nvidia has qualified all three memory makers for HBM4. Supply concentration is loosening. SK Hynix retains the lead but its share is forecast to fall from 59% to 50% in 2026. SK Hynix earns a 74% operating margin v...

Three Days, $107 Billion: What Samsung and SK Hynix Just Told the Market

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Korea's Memory Duopoly · Part 1 of 3 Three Days, $107 Billion: What Samsung and SK Hynix Just Told the Market Nearly every AI accelerator shipping today contains memory made by one of two Korean companies. Last week both of them announced the largest shareholder returns in their history — within 72 hours of each other. The size is not the interesting part. 24 August 2026 · Part 1 of 3 — The setup Key points SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics announced roughly $107 billion in combined shareholder returns between 19 and 21 August. Samsung's figure alone is more than five times its previous record, set in 2020. The trigger for Korea's index rebound was not earnings. Both companies were already posting record profits while their shares fell. On the day the KOSPI recovered, the KOSDAQ small-cap index fell 4.63% — a divergence worth understanding. If you follow AI infrastructure, you already know the...